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Chapter 050 · Europe · 1950—Present

The Union and Its DiscontentsChapter
Fifty

The final chapter of this book returns to a question the first chapter raised in Athens: how do people who disagree profoundly govern themselves together. This chapter asks what the European Union actually is, why Britain left it, and whether the whole project answers, or merely postpones, the question this book began with. Press play.

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PROLOGUE Coal and Steel, Not a Constitution

The European project did not begin with any grand constitutional vision. It began, in 1950, with an unglamorous proposal from the French foreign minister Robert Schuman. He proposed placing French and West German coal and steel production under a single shared authority. The arrangement's stated purpose was explicit: to make a future war between the two countries not merely undesirable, but, through shared control of the very industries needed to wage one, materially difficult.

This reflected a specific historical judgment, drawn directly from the previous four chapters of this book: that the settlements after 1871, examined in chapter forty three, and after 1919, examined in chapter forty six, had each left Franco-German rivalry structurally intact and available to reignite, and that only genuine economic interdependence, rather than any treaty of restrictions or punishments, might permanently remove the underlying cause of Europe's most destructive recurring conflict.

The European Coal and Steel Community was founded in 1951 by France, West Germany, Italy and the three Benelux countries. It was modest in scope and unglamorous in its founding text. But it established a template, pooling specific sovereign economic powers under a shared supranational authority, that every subsequent stage of European integration would follow and expand.

ONE How a Trade Bloc Became Something More

The same six founding states expanded their cooperation in 1957 through the Treaty of Rome, establishing the European Economic Community, a broader common market removing trade barriers and, crucially, establishing a set of shared supranational institutions, a Commission, a Court of Justice, and eventually a directly elected Parliament, with real, if initially limited, power over the member states' own domestic law.

It is worth pausing on what that founding calculation actually cost, and what it bought. France and West Germany had fought three wars in seventy years, each one examined in earlier chapters of this book, and each settlement that followed, in 1871 and in 1919, had left the underlying rivalry available to reignite. By binding the two economies together at the level of the specific industries that had armed each previous war, the founders of European integration bet that shared prosperity, not shared punishment, was the only settlement durable enough to actually hold.

Membership expanded steadily over the following decades: Britain, Ireland and Denmark in 1973, Greece in 1981, Spain and Portugal in 1986, each expansion driven by a mixture of economic calculation and, especially for the southern European states emerging from the dictatorships examined in earlier chapters, a desire to anchor fragile new democracies firmly within a community of established democratic states.

The most consequential single transformation came with the 1992 Maastricht Treaty. It renamed the organisation the European Union, and, considerably more significantly, it committed member states to an eventual single currency, the euro. The euro was launched in physical form in 2002 and adopted, over the following two decades, by the substantial majority of member states, though notably not by Britain or several Scandinavian and Central European members, who retained their own national currencies.

The collapse of the Soviet bloc examined in the previous chapter then opened the door to the Union's largest single expansion, admitting ten new members in 2004 alone, most of them former Warsaw Pact states now anchoring their own post-communist transitions to Western institutions much as Greece, Spain and Portugal had anchored theirs to democracy two decades earlier.

TWO What the Union Actually Is, Institutionally

It is worth being precise about the Union's actual institutional structure, since it is neither a single federal state along American lines nor merely an intergovernmental trade agreement, but a genuinely novel hybrid that political scientists still argue over how best to categorise.

The European Commission proposes legislation and can act with real independent authority in specific areas, competition policy especially, where it has fined even the largest global corporations for violations of European market rules. The European Parliament, directly elected by citizens of all member states since 1979, shares legislative power with the Council of the European Union, representing the member state governments themselves, a structure combining directly democratic and intergovernmental legitimacy in a single lawmaking process.

The European Court of Justice has established, through a series of landmark rulings beginning in the 1960s, the principle that European law takes direct precedence over conflicting national law within member states, a degree of legal integration considerably deeper than in most international organisations and one that member states accepted, gradually and not always comfortably, as the price of the economic benefits integration provided.

What the Union conspicuously lacks, by contrast, is its own independent tax-raising power of any significant scale, its own standing military force, and full control over foreign policy, all of which remain substantially in the hands of individual member states, a division of powers that leaves the Union simultaneously more integrated than any comparable international body in history and considerably less unified than any single sovereign state examined throughout the rest of this book.

THREE Why Britain Left

In June 2016, in a referendum whose result surprised most pollsters, financial markets and, by most accounts, a significant portion of its own architects, British voters chose by a narrow margin, fifty-two to forty-eight percent, to leave the European Union, a process that took over three years of difficult negotiation to actually implement and that became known, through a portmanteau of Britain and exit, as Brexit.

The reasons behind the vote were genuinely varied and remain debated by researchers who have studied it extensively. Concerns about immigration, particularly the free movement of workers from the poorer Eastern European states that had joined in 2004, featured prominently in the successful Leave campaign's messaging, tapping into economic anxieties in post-industrial regions that had, in the researchers' own analysis, benefited unevenly from decades of European integration and broader globalisation.

A broader argument about sovereignty ran alongside the immigration concern, an argument with real intellectual roots stretching back to Britain's own particular constitutional history examined in chapters eighteen and thirty one, that Britain's own parliament, and not any shared European court or commission, should hold final authority over British law, an argument that resonated even among voters not primarily motivated by immigration concerns specifically.

Britain formally left the Union in January 2020, and the economic and political consequences, still being assessed at the time of this book's writing, have included measurable disruption to trade with the Union, its largest trading partner, alongside a renewed and still unresolved argument within the United Kingdom itself about Scotland's own continued place within a union, that of the United Kingdom, that voted differently on the European question than England did.

FOUR The Arguments Still Running

Beyond the specific case of Brexit, several deeper and unresolved tensions run through the Union's institutions and its member states' politics, tensions this book's own recurring themes suggest are unlikely to be finally settled by any single treaty.

A democratic deficit critique, made by observers across the political spectrum, argues that the Union's most powerful institutions, the Commission and the Court especially, exercise real authority over hundreds of millions of people while remaining considerably less directly accountable to ordinary voters than any national government examined throughout this book, a structural gap between institutional power and direct democratic legitimacy that echoes, in a modern register, the tension this book's very first chapter identified in ancient Athens between who actually governs and who is genuinely heard.

Economic divergence between the Union's wealthier northern and western members and its poorer southern and eastern ones produced, most sharply during the sovereign debt crisis of the early 2010s, deep disagreements over whether richer member states should subsidise poorer ones, and under what conditions, a live and unresolved argument about solidarity that echoes, at a continental scale, the same question chapter forty two's account of the welfare state raised within individual nations.

And a rule-of-law dispute with Hungary and Poland, both of whose governments have, in the 2010s and 2020s, taken steps that European institutions and independent observers regard as undermining judicial independence and media freedom, has tested whether the Union possesses effective mechanisms to enforce its own founding democratic principles against member states that formally remain within it while substantively diverging from the values its treaties assume, an argument this book leaves genuinely open, since it remains, at the time of this writing, unresolved.

FIVE Athens Again

This book began in Athens, with several thousand citizens standing on a hill, arguing publicly about how to govern themselves, in an assembly that excluded women, enslaved people and foreigners, and that ultimately could not prevent its own worst impulses from occasionally overriding its own best ones.

It ends with a union of twenty-seven nations and roughly four hundred and fifty million people. It is governed through an elected parliament, a shared court, and a set of institutions built specifically to make war between its members materially difficult rather than merely diplomatically undesirable. That union, too, excludes in practice a genuine and equal voice for many of the people whose lives its decisions shape. And it has, in the crises of the past two decades, revealed real limits to its own founding ambitions.

The parallel is not exact, and this book has tried throughout to resist forcing false symmetries between distant periods. But the underlying question a reader might take from Athens to Brussels, across two and a half thousand years and fifty chapters, has not actually changed: how do people who disagree, sometimes profoundly and sometimes violently, govern themselves together, and what is the actual, specific, examinable gap, in any given arrangement, between who holds the formal power to decide and who is genuinely heard.

This book has not offered an answer, because there is no single answer the historical record actually supports. What it has tried to offer, in every chapter, is the discipline of asking the question honestly: naming what a given arrangement actually did, for whom, at what cost, and what it left unresolved for the people who came after. That discipline, more than any specific institution examined across these fifty chapters, is the one thing this book would ask a reader to carry forward, into arguments about self-government that remain, in Europe and everywhere else, very much unfinished.

CLOSING NOTES What We Know and What We Are Guessing

Firm: the treaties, institutional structures and expansion timeline of European integration, extensively documented in the Union's own public records and in a vast independent scholarly literature.

Firm: the Brexit referendum result and the subsequent withdrawal negotiations, documented in official results and government records on both sides.

Contested, genuinely and currently: nearly everything in this chapter's final three sections, since this book has, for the first time across all fifty chapters, been describing events whose outcomes are not yet settled, whose long-term consequences historians a generation from now will be considerably better positioned to assess than this book's own author can be today.

A final caution, offered in place of a conclusion. Every chapter in this book has, at some point, corrected a confident story with an inconvenient fact, or set two incompatible readings of the same events side by side without forcing a choice between them. This final chapter, describing events still unfolding as it was written, is the one place in the book where that caution applies most directly to the chapter itself: readers encountering this book at any real distance from its own writing should treat its account of the Union's present tensions as a snapshot of an argument still very much in progress, not as history's own final word on how it turned out.

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